Ekstraklasa · Full time

Prediction for Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin

Ekstraklasa AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Jagiellonia

Standing#3

Elo rating1556

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
DWWLW

Expected goals1.57

Full time1 - 0May 23, 2026
17:30

Zaglebie Lubin

Standing#7

Elo rating1480

Form index26.7%

Last 5 matches
LWDLL

Expected goals1.32

Match context to watch
Late-season contextRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Jagiellonia at 46.8%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 75%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (11.50%)
  • BTTSYes · 58.1%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 55.3%

1X2 probabilities

Jagiellonia46.8%
Draw28.2%
Zaglebie Lubin25%

Main pickJagiellonia46.8%

Confidence52.2%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Jagiellonia1.57
Expected total2.89
Zaglebie Lubin1.32
55.3%Over 2.5

Over 55.3% Under 44.7%

58.1%BTTS

Yes 58.1% No 41.9%

Double chance

Available markets

1X75%
X253.2%
1271.8%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 111.5%
  2. Likely score 2 - 19%
  3. Likely score 1 - 08.7%
  4. Likely score 1 - 27.6%
  5. Likely score 0 - 17.3%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Jagiellonia 26.6%Zaglebie Lubin 20.8%

Draw no bet

Jagiellonia 65.2%Zaglebie Lubin 34.9%

Win to nil

Jagiellonia 21.1%Zaglebie Lubin 15.2%

Win by 2+ goals

Jagiellonia 21.8%Zaglebie Lubin 14.1%
Post-match review · Final score1 - 0

Verified predictionCorrect

Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin?

The model sees an open match and gives Jagiellonia a slight edge at 46.8%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 1 (11.50%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 58.1% and BTTS No at 41.9%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 75%, without being certain.

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Ekstraklasa

What the data says about Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin

This Ekstraklasa fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Jagiellonia sits 3rd and Zaglebie Lubin 7th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1556 for Jagiellonia and 1480 for Zaglebie Lubin.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 66.7% for Jagiellonia and 26.7% for Zaglebie Lubin. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Jagiellonia 46.8%, the draw 28.2% and Zaglebie Lubin 25%. The expected-goals model projects 1.57 xG against 1.32, for a combined 2.89.