Ekstraklasa · Scheduled

First AI projection for Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan

First AI projection for this Ekstraklasa fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Gornik Zabrze

Standing#3

Elo rating1581

Form index86.7%

Last 5 matches
WWWWD

Expected goals1.17

ScheduledVS

Lech Poznan

Standing#2

Elo rating1623

Form index73.3%

Last 5 matches
WWDDW

Expected goals1.40

Match context to watch
Draw closeLine-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Lech Poznan at 40.3%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 70.7%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (12.24%)
  • BTTSYes · 57.2%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 51.6%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Gornik Zabrze29.3%
Draw30.4%
Lech Poznan40.3%

Main pickLech Poznan40.3%

Confidence59.2%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Gornik Zabrze1.17
Expected total2.57
Lech Poznan1.40
51.6%Over 2.5

Over 51.6% Under 48.4%

57.2%BTTS

Yes 57.2% No 42.8%

Double chance

Available markets

1X59.7%
X270.7%
1269.6%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 1 — 12.2%
  2. Likely score 1 - 2 — 11.6%
  3. Likely score 0 - 0 — 10.2%
  4. Likely score 0 - 1 — 9.7%
  5. Likely score 2 - 1 — 9.4%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Gornik Zabrze 23.6%Lech Poznan 29.4%

Draw no bet

Gornik Zabrze 42.1%Lech Poznan 57.9%

Win to nil

Gornik Zabrze 13.4%Lech Poznan 19.2%

Win by 2+ goals

Gornik Zabrze 10.3%Lech Poznan 17.3%

Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan?

The early estimate gives Lech Poznan a slight edge at 40.3%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 1 (12.24%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Ekstraklasa

What the data says about Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan

This Ekstraklasa fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Gornik Zabrze sits 3rd and Lech Poznan 2nd in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1581 for Gornik Zabrze and 1623 for Lech Poznan.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 86.7% for Gornik Zabrze and 73.3% for Lech Poznan. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Gornik Zabrze 29.3%, the draw 30.4% and Lech Poznan 40.3%. The expected-goals model projects 1.17 xG against 1.40, for a combined 2.57.