Ekstraklasa · Full time

Prediction for Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce

Ekstraklasa AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

Advertising placement — local preview, ads hidden for this account

Cracovia Krakow

Standing#13

Elo rating1481

Form index26.7%

Last 5 matches
DDDDL

Expected goals1.86

Full time1 - 1May 23, 2026
17:30

Korona Kielce

Standing#11

Elo rating1483

Form index33.3%

Last 5 matches
WLDDL

Expected goals0.65

Match context to watch
Relegation pressureLate-season contextRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Cracovia Krakow at 41.7%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 73.7%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (15.11%)
  • BTTSYes · 51.9%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 55.1%

1X2 probabilities

Cracovia Krakow41.7%
Draw32%
Korona Kielce26.3%

Main pickCracovia Krakow41.7%

Confidence49.7%

StabilityRisk

Advertising placement — local preview, ads hidden for this account

Expected goals and trends

Cracovia Krakow1.86
Expected total2.51
Korona Kielce0.65
44.9%Over 2.5

Over 44.9% Under 55.1%

51.9%BTTS

Yes 51.9% No 48.1%

Double chance

Available markets

1X73.7%
X258.3%
1268%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 015.1%
  2. Likely score 2 - 014%
  3. Likely score 1 - 19.8%
  4. Likely score 2 - 19.1%
  5. Likely score 3 - 08.7%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Cracovia Krakow 52.2%Korona Kielce 15.6%

Draw no bet

Cracovia Krakow 61.3%Korona Kielce 38.7%

Win to nil

Cracovia Krakow 44%Korona Kielce 7.5%

Win by 2+ goals

Cracovia Krakow 40%Korona Kielce 3.1%
Post-match review · Final score1 - 1

Verified predictionIncorrect

Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce?

The model sees an open match and gives Cracovia Krakow a slight edge at 41.7%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 0 (15.11%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 51.9% and BTTS No at 48.1%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 73.7%, without being certain.

Advertising placement — local preview, ads hidden for this account

Ekstraklasa

What the data says about Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce

This Ekstraklasa fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Cracovia Krakow sits 13th and Korona Kielce 11th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1481 for Cracovia Krakow and 1483 for Korona Kielce.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 26.7% for Cracovia Krakow and 33.3% for Korona Kielce. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Cracovia Krakow 41.7%, the draw 32% and Korona Kielce 26.3%. The expected-goals model projects 1.86 xG against 0.65, for a combined 2.51.