HNL · Full time

Prediction for NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961

HNL AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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NK Varazdin

Standing#3

Elo rating1537

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
WDLLW

Expected goals1.23

Full time2 - 0May 23, 2026
16:00

Istra 1961

Standing#6

Elo rating1484

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
DWWLL

Expected goals0.57

Match context to watch
Draw closeLate-season context

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for NK Varazdin at 40.6%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 74.8%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (20.36%)
  • BTTSNo · 52.1%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 61.1%

1X2 probabilities

NK Varazdin40.6%
Draw34.2%
Istra 196125.2%

Main pickNK Varazdin40.6%

Confidence46.4%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

NK Varazdin1.23
Expected total1.80
Istra 19610.57
38.9%Over 2.5

Over 38.9% Under 61.1%

47.9%BTTS

Yes 47.9% No 52.1%

Double chance

Available markets

1X74.8%
X259.4%
1265.8%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 020.4%
  2. Likely score 0 - 016.5%
  3. Likely score 2 - 012.5%
  4. Likely score 1 - 111.6%
  5. Likely score 0 - 19.4%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

NK Varazdin 56.6%Istra 1961 29.2%

Draw no bet

NK Varazdin 61.8%Istra 1961 38.2%

Win to nil

NK Varazdin 40.1%Istra 1961 12.7%

Win by 2+ goals

NK Varazdin 24.2%Istra 1961 4%
Post-match review · Final score2 - 0

Verified predictionCorrect

NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961 prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961?

The model sees an open match and gives NK Varazdin a slight edge at 40.6%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 0 (20.36%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 47.9% and BTTS No at 52.1%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 74.8%, without being certain.

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HNL

What the data says about NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961

This HNL fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, NK Varazdin sits 3rd and Istra 1961 6th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1537 for NK Varazdin and 1484 for Istra 1961.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for NK Varazdin and 46.7% for Istra 1961. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives NK Varazdin 40.6%, the draw 34.2% and Istra 1961 25.2%. The expected-goals model projects 1.23 xG against 0.57, for a combined 1.80.