Relative strengthAdvantage Dinamo Zagreb
Prediction for Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb
Istra 1961LWDLL11.2%Istra 1961
22.1%Draw
66.7%Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo ZagrebWWWDWVERDICTClear edge for Dinamo Zagreb
Foresportia's analysis estimates that Dinamo Zagreb has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give Dinamo Zagreb a clear edge in the 1X2 reading. The more protective signal remains double chance X2 at 88.8%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYCorrect The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 79.9%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance X2 · 88.8%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formAdvantage Dinamo Zagreb
Goal profileIntermediate goal profile
Signal stabilityModerate
Model confidenceVery high
Probabilities & verdict
Istra 196111.2%Draw22.1%
Dinamo Zagreb66.7%Main pickDinamo Zagreb
1X2 STABILITYCorrect
Model confidence79.9%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | X2 | 88.8% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | Dinamo Zagreb | 85.6% | Solid |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 58.2% | Interesting |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.3% | Neutral |
| Total goals | Over 1.5 | 77.8% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)0.79Istra 1961
Total xG2.88
Expected goals (xG)2.08Dinamo Zagreb
Under 2.5 probability41.8%
BTTS No probability46.7%
Top 5 likely scores
1 - 213.2%0 - 111.2%1 - 19.7%0 - 29.1%0 - 38.3%
Advanced scenarios
Istra 1961Dinamo Zagreb12.2%
Clean sheet41.9%
4.8%
Win to nil34.5%
2.4%
Win by 2 goals or more40.2%
Team comparison
Istra 1961Dinamo Zagreb7thCurrent position1st
1475Elo1752
LWDLLForm (last 5)WWWDW
1.8Goals scored / match (5)2.6
2.0Goals conceded / match (5)0.4
20.0Clean sheets (5)60.0
Prediction reliability
The signal has an intermediate stability level and should still be read alongside the match context.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCECorrect profile
90.9%
90.9% correct predictions
over 11 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb?
The Foresportia model gives Dinamo Zagreb a clear edge at 66.7%. This estimate does not guarantee the final result.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 1 - 2 (13.19%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 53.3% and BTTS No at 46.7%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance X2 stands at 88.8%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb
This HNL fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Istra 1961 sits 7th and Dinamo Zagreb 1st in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1475 for Istra 1961 and 1752 for Dinamo Zagreb.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 26.7% for Istra 1961 and 86.7% for Dinamo Zagreb. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives Istra 1961 11.2%, the draw 22.1% and Dinamo Zagreb 66.7%. The expected-goals model projects 0.79 xG against 2.08, for a combined 2.88. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 1–2 at 13.2%.