HNL · Full time

Prediction for HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica

HNL AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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HNK Rijeka

Standing#4

Elo rating1524

Form index53.3%

Last 5 matches
DWWDL

Expected goals1.17

Full time2 - 0May 23, 2026
16:00

HNK Gorica

Standing#8

Elo rating1483

Form index60%

Last 5 matches
WLLWW

Expected goals0.61

Match context to watch
Late-season context

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for HNK Rijeka at 56.1%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 84.8%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (19.75%)
  • BTTSNo · 52.2%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 54.3%

1X2 probabilities

HNK Rijeka56.1%
Draw28.8%
HNK Gorica15.2%

Main pickHNK Rijeka56.1%

Confidence41.6%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

HNK Rijeka1.17
Expected total1.78
HNK Gorica0.61
45.7%Over 2.5

Over 45.7% Under 54.3%

47.8%BTTS

Yes 47.8% No 52.2%

Double chance

Available markets

1X84.8%
X243.9%
1271.2%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 019.8%
  2. Likely score 0 - 016.8%
  3. Likely score 1 - 112%
  4. Likely score 2 - 011.6%
  5. Likely score 0 - 110.2%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

HNK Rijeka 54.4%HNK Gorica 30.9%

Draw no bet

HNK Rijeka 78.7%HNK Gorica 21.3%

Win to nil

HNK Rijeka 37.6%HNK Gorica 14.1%

Win by 2+ goals

HNK Rijeka 22%HNK Gorica 4.8%
Post-match review · Final score2 - 0

Verified predictionCorrect

HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica?

The model sees an open match and gives HNK Rijeka a slight edge at 56.1%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 0 (19.75%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 47.8% and BTTS No at 52.2%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 84.8%, without being certain.

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HNL

What the data says about HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica

This HNL fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, HNK Rijeka sits 4th and HNK Gorica 8th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1524 for HNK Rijeka and 1483 for HNK Gorica.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 53.3% for HNK Rijeka and 60% for HNK Gorica. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives HNK Rijeka 56.1%, the draw 28.8% and HNK Gorica 15.2%. The expected-goals model projects 1.17 xG against 0.61, for a combined 1.78.