Relative strengthAdvantage HNK Hajduk Split
Prediction for HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Hajduk SplitWWDLW55.7%HNK Hajduk Split
27.2%Draw
17.1%NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebLLWWDVERDICTModerate edge for HNK Hajduk Split
Foresportia's analysis estimates that HNK Hajduk Split has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give HNK Hajduk Split a moderate edge in the 1X2 reading. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 82.8%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 37.9%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 82.8%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formAdvantage HNK Hajduk Split
Goal profileIntermediate goal profile
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceLow
Probabilities & verdict
HNK Hajduk Split55.7%Draw27.2%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb17.1%Main pickHNK Hajduk Split
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence37.9%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 82.8% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | HNK Hajduk Split | 76.5% | Solid |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 52.5% | Neutral |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.1% | Neutral |
| Total goals | Over 1.5 | 73.5% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.73HNK Hajduk Split
Total xG2.62
Expected goals (xG)0.89NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Under 2.5 probability47.5%
BTTS No probability45.9%
Top 5 likely scores
2 - 113.2%1 - 011.7%1 - 111.5%0 - 09.4%2 - 07.8%
Advanced scenarios
HNK Hajduk SplitNK Lokomotiva Zagreb38.1%
Clean sheet17.1%
28.8%
Win to nil7.8%
29.1%
Win by 2 goals or more4.3%
Team comparison
HNK Hajduk SplitNK Lokomotiva Zagreb4thCurrent position6th
1612Elo1485
WWDLWForm (last 5)LLWWD
3.0Goals scored / match (5)1.4
1.6Goals conceded / match (5)1.6
20.0Clean sheets (5)20.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
51.1%
51.1% correct predictions
over 47 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
The Foresportia model gives HNK Hajduk Split a moderate edge at 55.7%. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 2 - 1 (13.23%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 54.1% and BTTS No at 45.9%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance 1X stands at 82.8%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
This HNL fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, HNK Hajduk Split sits 4th and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 6th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1612 for HNK Hajduk Split and 1485 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 66.7% for HNK Hajduk Split and 46.7% for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives HNK Hajduk Split 55.7%, the draw 27.2% and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 17.1%. The expected-goals model projects 1.73 xG against 0.89, for a combined 2.62. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 2–1 at 13.2%.