Chinese Super League · Full time

Prediction for Qingdao Hainiu vs Yunnan Yukun

Chinese Super League AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Qingdao Hainiu

Standing#14

Elo rating1460

Form index20%

Last 5 matches
LLLLW

Expected goals1.65

Full time4 - 2June 26, 2026
13:35

Yunnan Yukun

Standing#5

Elo rating1519

Form index53.3%

Last 5 matches
DLDWW

Expected goals1.13

Match context to watch
Ranking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Yunnan Yukun at 39.6%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 68.5%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (11.58%)
  • BTTSYes · 60.1%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 56.6%

1X2 probabilities

Qingdao Hainiu31.5%
Draw28.9%
Yunnan Yukun39.6%

Main pickYunnan Yukun39.6%

Confidence21.1%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Qingdao Hainiu1.65
Expected total2.78
Yunnan Yukun1.13
56.6%Over 2.5

Over 56.6% Under 43.4%

60.1%BTTS

Yes 60.1% No 39.9%

Double chance

Available markets

1X60.4%
X268.5%
1271.1%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 111.6%
  2. Likely score 1 - 010.2%
  3. Likely score 2 - 19.5%
  4. Likely score 2 - 08.4%
  5. Likely score 0 - 17%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Qingdao Hainiu 32.2%Yunnan Yukun 19.2%

Draw no bet

Qingdao Hainiu 44.3%Yunnan Yukun 55.7%

Win to nil

Qingdao Hainiu 26%Yunnan Yukun 13%

Win by 2+ goals

Qingdao Hainiu 26.2%Yunnan Yukun 10.2%
Post-match review · Final score4 - 2

Verified predictionIncorrect

Qingdao Hainiu vs Yunnan Yukun prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Qingdao Hainiu vs Yunnan Yukun?

The model sees an open match and gives Yunnan Yukun a slight edge at 39.6%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 1 (11.58%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 60.1% and BTTS No at 39.9%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance X2 stands at 68.5%, without being certain.

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Chinese Super League

What the data says about Qingdao Hainiu vs Yunnan Yukun

This Chinese Super League fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Qingdao Hainiu sits 14th and Yunnan Yukun 5th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1460 for Qingdao Hainiu and 1519 for Yunnan Yukun.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 20% for Qingdao Hainiu and 53.3% for Yunnan Yukun. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Qingdao Hainiu 31.5%, the draw 28.9% and Yunnan Yukun 39.6%. The expected-goals model projects 1.65 xG against 1.13, for a combined 2.78.