Chinese Super League · Scheduled

First AI projection for Chengdu Rongcheng vs Chongqing Tonglianglong

First AI projection for this Chinese Super League fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

Follow Chengdu Rongcheng vs Chongqing Tonglianglong and today's matchesAll Chinese Super League predictions
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Chengdu Rongcheng

Standing#1

Elo rating1681

Form index60%

Last 5 matches
WWLLW

Expected goals1.99

ScheduledVSJuly 11, 2026
14:00

Chongqing Tonglianglong

Standing#2

Elo rating1534

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
WLWDL

Expected goals0.45

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionEdge for Chengdu Rongcheng at 50.8%, with no guarantee of the outcome.
  • Confidence levelCorrect
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 83.9%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (17.42%)
  • BTTSNo · 56%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 61.7%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Chengdu Rongcheng50.8%
Draw33%
Chongqing Tonglianglong16.1%

Main pickChengdu Rongcheng50.8%

Confidence72%

StabilityCorrect

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Expected goals and trends

Chengdu Rongcheng1.99
Expected total2.43
Chongqing Tonglianglong0.45
38.3%Over 2.5

Over 38.3% Under 61.7%

44%BTTS

Yes 44% No 56%

Double chance

Available markets

1X83.9%
X249.2%
1267%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 0 — 17.4%
  2. Likely score 2 - 0 — 17.3%
  3. Likely score 3 - 0 — 11.4%
  4. Likely score 0 - 0 — 8.8%
  5. Likely score 1 - 1 — 7.8%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Chengdu Rongcheng 63.9%Chongqing Tonglianglong 13.8%

Draw no bet

Chengdu Rongcheng 75.9%Chongqing Tonglianglong 24.1%

Win to nil

Chengdu Rongcheng 55%Chongqing Tonglianglong 4.9%

Win by 2+ goals

Chengdu Rongcheng 47.8%Chongqing Tonglianglong 1.4%

Chengdu Rongcheng vs Chongqing Tonglianglong early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Chengdu Rongcheng vs Chongqing Tonglianglong?

The early estimate gives Chengdu Rongcheng a slight edge at 50.8%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 0 (17.42%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

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What the data says about Chengdu Rongcheng vs Chongqing Tonglianglong

This Chinese Super League fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Chengdu Rongcheng sits 1st and Chongqing Tonglianglong 2nd in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1681 for Chengdu Rongcheng and 1534 for Chongqing Tonglianglong.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 60% for Chengdu Rongcheng and 46.7% for Chongqing Tonglianglong. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Chengdu Rongcheng 50.8%, the draw 33% and Chongqing Tonglianglong 16.1%. The expected-goals model projects 1.99 xG against 0.45, for a combined 2.43.