Chinese Super League · Scheduled

Prediction for Beijing Guoan vs Shandong Taishan

Chinese Super League AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

Advertising placement — local preview, ads hidden for this account

Beijing Guoan

Standing#7

Elo rating1553

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
WWLDW

Expected goals3.03

ScheduledVSJuly 4, 2026
13:35

Shandong Taishan

Standing#4

Elo rating1584

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
WLDLW

Expected goals1.55

Match context to watch
Shandong - BeijingLine-ups to watchBusy scheduleRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Beijing Guoan at 40.5%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 67.3%
  • Likely score3 - 1 (7.37%)
  • BTTSYes · 64.1%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 62.5%

1X2 probabilities

AI prediction updated with the latest available data.

Beijing Guoan40.5%
Draw26.7%
Shandong Taishan32.7%

Main pickBeijing Guoan40.5%

Confidence40.4%

StabilityRisk

Advertising placement — local preview, ads hidden for this account

Expected goals and trends

Beijing Guoan3.03
Expected total4.58
Shandong Taishan1.55
62.5%Over 2.5

Over 62.5% Under 37.5%

64.1%BTTS

Yes 64.1% No 35.9%

Double chance

Available markets

1X67.3%
X259.5%
1273.3%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 3 - 17.4%
  2. Likely score 2 - 17.3%
  3. Likely score 3 - 25.7%
  4. Likely score 2 - 25.7%
  5. Likely score 4 - 15.6%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Beijing Guoan 21.2%Shandong Taishan 4.8%

Draw no bet

Beijing Guoan 55.3%Shandong Taishan 44.7%

Win to nil

Beijing Guoan 20.2%Shandong Taishan 3.8%

Win by 2+ goals

Beijing Guoan 48.5%Shandong Taishan 7.3%

Beijing Guoan vs Shandong Taishan prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan vs Shandong Taishan?

The model sees an open match and gives Beijing Guoan a slight edge at 40.5%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 3 - 1 (7.37%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 64.1% and BTTS No at 35.9%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 67.3%, without being certain.

Advertising placement — local preview, ads hidden for this account

Chinese Super League

What the data says about Beijing Guoan vs Shandong Taishan

This Chinese Super League fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Beijing Guoan sits 7th and Shandong Taishan 4th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1553 for Beijing Guoan and 1584 for Shandong Taishan.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 66.7% for Beijing Guoan and 46.7% for Shandong Taishan. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Beijing Guoan 40.5%, the draw 26.7% and Shandong Taishan 32.7%. The expected-goals model projects 3.03 xG against 1.55, for a combined 4.58.