Championship · Full time

Stoke City vs Swansea City: final result and verified AI prediction

Championship AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Stoke City

Standing#20

Elo rating1397

Form index6.7%

Last 5 matches
LLLLD

Pre-match projected goals1.76

Full time1 - 2

Swansea City

Standing#7

Elo rating1510

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
WDWLW

Pre-match projected goals1.48

Post-match · Confirmed result1 - 2

Prediction review

Main pick
Swansea City
Pick result
Correct
Published probability
35%
Final-score rank in pre-match top 5
#5

Verified pre-match markets

  • BTTS No52%Incorrect
  • Under 2.5 goals57.8%Incorrect
  • Double chance 1269%Correct
Match context to watch
Draw close

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Swansea City at 35%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 66%
  • Likely score0 - 0 (13.51%)
  • BTTSNo · 52%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 57.8%

Published pre-match 1X2 probabilities

Stoke City34%
Draw31%
Swansea City35%

Published pre-match predictionSwansea City35%

Confidence39.4%

StabilityRisk

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Pre-match projected goals and trends

Stoke City1.76
Pre-match projected total3.24
Swansea City1.48
42.2%Over 2.5

Over 42.2% Under 57.8%

48%BTTS

Yes 48% No 52%

Double chance

Available markets

1X65%
X266%
1269%

Pre-match top 5 likely scores

  1. Pre-match likely score 0 - 013.5%
  2. Pre-match likely score 1 - 112.1%
  3. Pre-match likely score 0 - 111.2%
  4. Pre-match likely score 1 - 011%
  5. Pre-match likely score 1 - 28.9%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Stoke City 32.5%Swansea City 33.1%

Draw no bet

Stoke City 49.3%Swansea City 50.7%

Win by 2+ goals

Stoke City 12.5%Swansea City 13.1%

Stoke City vs Swansea City prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Stoke City vs Swansea City?

The model sees an open match and gives Swansea City a slight edge at 35%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 0 - 0 (13.51%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 48% and BTTS No at 52%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance X2 stands at 66%, without being certain.

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Championship

What the data says about Stoke City vs Swansea City

This Championship fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Stoke City sits 20th and Swansea City 7th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1397 for Stoke City and 1510 for Swansea City.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 6.7% for Stoke City and 66.7% for Swansea City. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Stoke City 34%, the draw 31% and Swansea City 35%. Before the match, the model projected 1.76 xG against 1.48, for a combined 3.24.