Championship · Full time

Prediction for Hull City vs Middlesbrough FC

Championship AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Hull City

Standing#6

Elo rating1518

Form index53.3%

Last 5 matches
WDWLD

Expected goals1.56

Full time1 - 0May 23, 2026
16:30

Middlesbrough FC

Standing#5

Elo rating1540

Form index53.3%

Last 5 matches
LDDWW

Expected goals1.00

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Middlesbrough FC at 38.8%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 69.1%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (12.14%)
  • BTTSYes · 57.5%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 51.6%

1X2 probabilities

Hull City30.9%
Draw30.3%
Middlesbrough FC38.8%

Main pickMiddlesbrough FC38.8%

Confidence43%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Hull City1.56
Expected total2.55
Middlesbrough FC1.00
51.6%Over 2.5

Over 51.6% Under 48.4%

57.5%BTTS

Yes 57.5% No 42.5%

Double chance

Available markets

1X61.2%
X269.1%
1269.7%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 012.1%
  2. Likely score 1 - 112.1%
  3. Likely score 2 - 09.4%
  4. Likely score 2 - 19.4%
  5. Likely score 0 - 07.8%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Hull City 37%Middlesbrough FC 21.1%

Draw no bet

Hull City 44.3%Middlesbrough FC 55.7%

Win to nil

Hull City 29.1%Middlesbrough FC 13.3%

Win by 2+ goals

Hull City 26.1%Middlesbrough FC 8.7%
Post-match review · Final score1 - 0

Verified predictionIncorrect

Hull City vs Middlesbrough FC prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Hull City vs Middlesbrough FC?

The model sees an open match and gives Middlesbrough FC a slight edge at 38.8%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 0 (12.14%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 57.5% and BTTS No at 42.5%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance X2 stands at 69.1%, without being certain.

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Championship

What the data says about Hull City vs Middlesbrough FC

This Championship fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Hull City sits 6th and Middlesbrough FC 5th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1518 for Hull City and 1540 for Middlesbrough FC.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 53.3% for Hull City and 53.3% for Middlesbrough FC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Hull City 30.9%, the draw 30.3% and Middlesbrough FC 38.8%. The expected-goals model projects 1.56 xG against 1.00, for a combined 2.55.