Championship · Scheduled

First AI projection for FC Southampton vs Swansea City

First AI projection for this Championship fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

Follow FC Southampton vs Swansea City and today's matchesAll Championship predictions
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FC Southampton

Standing#24

Elo rating1605

Form index60%

Last 5 matches
WDWDD

Expected goals1.64

ScheduledVS

Swansea City

Standing#7

Elo rating1524

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
WWDWL

Expected goals1.03

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy scheduleRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for FC Southampton at 51%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 76.6%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (11.60%)
  • BTTSYes · 51.9%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 50.4%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

FC Southampton51%
Draw25.6%
Swansea City23.4%

Main pickFC Southampton51%

Confidence72.6%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

FC Southampton1.64
Expected total2.66
Swansea City1.03
50.4%Over 2.5

Over 50.4% Under 49.6%

51.9%BTTS

Yes 51.9% No 48.1%

Double chance

Available markets

1X76.6%
X249%
1274.4%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 0 — 11.6%
  2. Likely score 1 - 1 — 10.8%
  3. Likely score 2 - 1 — 9.9%
  4. Likely score 0 - 0 — 9.2%
  5. Likely score 2 - 0 — 7.9%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

FC Southampton 36.4%Swansea City 20.8%

Draw no bet

FC Southampton 68.6%Swansea City 31.4%

Win to nil

FC Southampton 27.2%Swansea City 11.7%

Win by 2+ goals

FC Southampton 26.3%Swansea City 7.8%

FC Southampton vs Swansea City early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about FC Southampton vs Swansea City?

The early estimate gives FC Southampton a slight edge at 51%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 0 (11.60%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Championship

What the data says about FC Southampton vs Swansea City

This Championship fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, FC Southampton sits 24th and Swansea City 7th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1605 for FC Southampton and 1524 for Swansea City.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 60% for FC Southampton and 66.7% for Swansea City. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives FC Southampton 51%, the draw 25.6% and Swansea City 23.4%. The expected-goals model projects 1.64 xG against 1.03, for a combined 2.66.