Championship · Scheduled

Prediction for FC Southampton vs Stoke City

Championship AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

Follow FC Southampton vs Stoke City and today's matchesAll Championship predictions
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FC Southampton

Standing#24

Elo rating1605

Form index60%

Last 5 matches
WDWDD

Expected goals1.66

ScheduledVS

Stoke City

Standing#20

Elo rating1397

Form index0%

Last 5 matches
LLLLL

Expected goals0.93

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy scheduleRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionEdge for FC Southampton at 54%, with no guarantee of the outcome.
  • Confidence levelCorrect
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 79.6%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (12.43%)
  • BTTSYes · 50.5%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 51.1%

1X2 probabilities

AI prediction updated with the latest available data.

FC Southampton54%
Draw25.6%
Stoke City20.4%

Main pickFC Southampton54%

Confidence73.9%

StabilityCorrect

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Expected goals and trends

FC Southampton1.66
Expected total2.59
Stoke City0.93
48.9%Over 2.5

Over 48.9% Under 51.1%

50.5%BTTS

Yes 50.5% No 49.5%

Double chance

Available markets

1X79.6%
X246%
1274.4%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 0 — 12.4%
  2. Likely score 1 - 1 — 11.2%
  3. Likely score 2 - 1 — 10.4%
  4. Likely score 0 - 0 — 9.7%
  5. Likely score 2 - 0 — 8.6%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

FC Southampton 39.2%Stoke City 20%

Draw no bet

FC Southampton 72.6%Stoke City 27.4%

Win to nil

FC Southampton 29.5%Stoke City 10.3%

Win by 2+ goals

FC Southampton 28%Stoke City 6.1%

FC Southampton vs Stoke City prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for FC Southampton vs Stoke City?

The model gives FC Southampton the edge at 54%, with no certainty about the final result.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 0 (12.43%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 50.5% and BTTS No at 49.5%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 79.6%, without being certain.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Championship

What the data says about FC Southampton vs Stoke City

This Championship fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, FC Southampton sits 24th and Stoke City 20th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1605 for FC Southampton and 1397 for Stoke City.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 60% for FC Southampton and 0% for Stoke City. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives FC Southampton 54%, the draw 25.6% and Stoke City 20.4%. The expected-goals model projects 1.66 xG against 0.93, for a combined 2.59.