Championship · Scheduled

First AI projection for Derby County vs West Bromwich Albion

First AI projection for this Championship fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Derby County

Standing#17

Elo rating1498

Form index40%

Last 5 matches
LLWLW

Expected goals1.07

ScheduledVS

West Bromwich Albion

Standing#6

Elo rating1490

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
WLDWW

Expected goals1.17

Match context to watch
Draw closeLine-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for West Bromwich Albion at 36.8%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 67.8%
  • Likely score0 - 0 (13.65%)
  • BTTSNo · 52.2%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 58%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Derby County32.1%
Draw31.1%
West Bromwich Albion36.8%

Main pickWest Bromwich Albion36.8%

Confidence41%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Derby County1.07
Expected total2.24
West Bromwich Albion1.17
42%Over 2.5

Over 42% Under 58%

47.8%BTTS

Yes 47.8% No 52.2%

Double chance

Available markets

1X63.2%
X267.8%
1269%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 0 - 013.7%
  2. Likely score 1 - 112.2%
  3. Likely score 0 - 111.7%
  4. Likely score 1 - 010.7%
  5. Likely score 1 - 29.2%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Derby County 31.5%West Bromwich Albion 34.4%

Draw no bet

Derby County 46.6%West Bromwich Albion 53.4%

Win to nil

Derby County 17.8%West Bromwich Albion 20.7%

Win by 2+ goals

Derby County 11.4%West Bromwich Albion 14.2%

Derby County vs West Bromwich Albion early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Derby County vs West Bromwich Albion?

The early estimate gives West Bromwich Albion a slight edge at 36.8%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 0 - 0 (13.65%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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Championship

What the data says about Derby County vs West Bromwich Albion

This Championship fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Derby County sits 17th and West Bromwich Albion 6th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1498 for Derby County and 1490 for West Bromwich Albion.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 40% for Derby County and 66.7% for West Bromwich Albion. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Derby County 32.1%, the draw 31.1% and West Bromwich Albion 36.8%. The expected-goals model projects 1.07 xG against 1.17, for a combined 2.24.