Championship · Scheduled

First AI projection for Derby County vs Swansea City

First AI projection for this Championship fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

Follow Derby County vs Swansea City and today's matchesAll Championship predictions
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Derby County

Standing#17

Elo rating1498

Form index40%

Last 5 matches
LLWLW

Expected goals1.18

ScheduledVS

Swansea City

Standing#7

Elo rating1524

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
WWDWL

Expected goals1.11

Match context to watch
Draw closeLine-ups to watchBusy scheduleRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Derby County at 36.4%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 67%
  • Likely score0 - 0 (12.94%)
  • BTTSNo · 51.4%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 56.8%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Derby County36.4%
Draw30.6%
Swansea City33%

Main pickDerby County36.4%

Confidence49.9%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Derby County1.18
Expected total2.30
Swansea City1.11
43.2%Over 2.5

Over 43.2% Under 56.8%

48.6%BTTS

Yes 48.6% No 51.4%

Double chance

Available markets

1X67%
X263.6%
1269.4%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 0 - 0 — 12.9%
  2. Likely score 1 - 1 — 11.9%
  3. Likely score 1 - 0 — 11.3%
  4. Likely score 0 - 1 — 10.6%
  5. Likely score 2 - 1 — 9%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Derby County 33.2%Swansea City 31.1%

Draw no bet

Derby County 52.4%Swansea City 47.6%

Win to nil

Derby County 20.3%Swansea City 18.2%

Win by 2+ goals

Derby County 14.3%Swansea City 12.2%

Derby County vs Swansea City early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Derby County vs Swansea City?

The early estimate gives Derby County a slight edge at 36.4%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 0 - 0 (12.94%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Championship

What the data says about Derby County vs Swansea City

This Championship fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Derby County sits 17th and Swansea City 7th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1498 for Derby County and 1524 for Swansea City.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 40% for Derby County and 66.7% for Swansea City. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Derby County 36.4%, the draw 30.6% and Swansea City 33%. The expected-goals model projects 1.18 xG against 1.11, for a combined 2.30.