Championship · Full time

Charlton Athletic vs Derby County: final result and verified AI prediction

Championship AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

Follow Charlton Athletic vs Derby County and today's matchesAll Championship predictions
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Charlton Athletic

Standing#5

Elo rating1426

Form index26.7%

Last 5 matches
LWLDL

Pre-match projected goals1.47

Full time2 - 1

Derby County

Standing#17

Elo rating1514

Form index40%

Last 5 matches
LWLWL

Pre-match projected goals1.66

Post-match · Confirmed result2 - 1

Prediction review

Main pick
Derby County
Pick result
Incorrect
Published probability
36.3%
Final-score rank in pre-match top 5
Not in the published pre-match top 5

Verified pre-match markets

  • BTTS No53.2%Incorrect
  • Under 2.5 goals59.7%Incorrect
  • Double chance X268.5%Incorrect
Match context to watch
Draw closeRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Derby County at 36.3%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 68.5%
  • Likely score0 - 0 (14.63%)
  • BTTSNo · 53.2%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 59.7%

Published pre-match 1X2 probabilities

Charlton Athletic31.5%
Draw32.2%
Derby County36.3%

Published pre-match predictionDerby County36.3%

Confidence40.4%

StabilityRisk

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Pre-match projected goals and trends

Charlton Athletic1.47
Pre-match projected total3.13
Derby County1.66
40.3%Over 2.5

Over 40.3% Under 59.7%

46.8%BTTS

Yes 46.8% No 53.2%

Double chance

Available markets

1X63.7%
X268.5%
1267.8%

Pre-match top 5 likely scores

  1. Pre-match likely score 0 - 0 — 14.6%
  2. Pre-match likely score 1 - 1 — 12.5%
  3. Pre-match likely score 0 - 1 — 12%
  4. Pre-match likely score 1 - 0 — 10.9%
  5. Pre-match likely score 1 - 2 — 9.2%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Charlton Athletic 32.4%Derby County 35.4%

Draw no bet

Charlton Athletic 46.5%Derby County 53.5%

Win by 2+ goals

Charlton Athletic 10.7%Derby County 13.6%

Charlton Athletic vs Derby County prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Charlton Athletic vs Derby County?

The model sees an open match and gives Derby County a slight edge at 36.3%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 0 - 0 (14.63%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 46.8% and BTTS No at 53.2%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance X2 stands at 68.5%, without being certain.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Championship

What the data says about Charlton Athletic vs Derby County

This Championship fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Charlton Athletic sits 5th and Derby County 17th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1426 for Charlton Athletic and 1514 for Derby County.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 26.7% for Charlton Athletic and 40% for Derby County. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Charlton Athletic 31.5%, the draw 32.2% and Derby County 36.3%. Before the match, the model projected 1.47 xG against 1.66, for a combined 3.13.