UEFA Champions League · Full time

Prediction for Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern München

UEFA Champions League AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Real Madrid CF

Standing

Elo rating1645

Form index80%

Last 5 matches
WWWWL

Expected goals1.23

Full time1 - 2April 7, 2026
21:00

FC Bayern München

Standing

Elo rating1654

Form index100%

Last 5 matches
WWWWW

Expected goals1.74

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for FC Bayern München at 46.4%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 72.5%
  • Likely score0 - 1 (12.74%)
  • BTTSYes · 70.1%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 72.6%

1X2 probabilities

Real Madrid CF27.5%
Draw26%
FC Bayern München46.4%

Main pickFC Bayern München46.4%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Real Madrid CF1.23
Expected total2.97
FC Bayern München1.74
72.6%Over 2.5

Over 72.6% Under 27.4%

70.1%BTTS

Yes 70.1% No 29.9%

Double chance

Available markets

1X53.6%
X272.5%
1274%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 0 - 112.7%
  2. Likely score 1 - 112.3%
  3. Likely score 1 - 09.2%
  4. Likely score 1 - 29%
  5. Likely score 0 - 28.9%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Real Madrid CF 17.5%FC Bayern München 29.1%

Draw no bet

Real Madrid CF 37.2%FC Bayern München 62.8%

Win to nil

Real Madrid CF 12.4%FC Bayern München 24.1%

Win by 2+ goals

Real Madrid CF 11.1%FC Bayern München 26.9%
Post-match review · Final score1 - 2

Verified predictionCorrect

Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern München prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern München?

The model sees an open match and gives FC Bayern München a slight edge at 46.4%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 0 - 1 (12.74%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 70.1% and BTTS No at 29.9%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance X2 stands at 72.5%, without being certain.

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UEFA Champions League

What the data says about Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern München

This Champions League fixture brings a high level of difficulty, making every gap in form or efficiency more significant.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 80% for Real Madrid CF and 100% for FC Bayern München. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Real Madrid CF 27.5%, the draw 26% and FC Bayern München 46.4%. The expected-goals model projects 1.23 xG against 1.74, for a combined 2.97.