UEFA Champions League · Full time

Prediction for Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Liverpool FC

UEFA Champions League AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Paris Saint-Germain FC

Standing

Elo rating1638

Form index73.3%

Last 5 matches
WWDWD

Expected goals1.55

Full time2 - 0April 8, 2026
21:00

Liverpool FC

Standing

Elo rating1596

Form index80%

Last 5 matches
WLWWW

Expected goals1.35

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy scheduleEuropean fixture nearby

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Paris Saint-Germain FC at 40.4%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 69.8%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (14.28%)
  • BTTSYes · 62.1%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 60.3%

1X2 probabilities

Paris Saint-Germain FC40.4%
Draw29.4%
Liverpool FC30.2%

Main pickParis Saint-Germain FC40.4%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Paris Saint-Germain FC1.55
Expected total2.90
Liverpool FC1.35
60.3%Over 2.5

Over 60.3% Under 39.7%

62.1%BTTS

Yes 62.1% No 37.9%

Double chance

Available markets

1X69.8%
X259.6%
1270.6%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 014.3%
  2. Likely score 1 - 113.2%
  3. Likely score 0 - 012.2%
  4. Likely score 0 - 111.8%
  5. Likely score 2 - 08.1%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Paris Saint-Germain FC 26%Liverpool FC 21.2%

Draw no bet

Paris Saint-Germain FC 57.2%Liverpool FC 42.8%

Win to nil

Paris Saint-Germain FC 20.5%Liverpool FC 15.7%

Win by 2+ goals

Paris Saint-Germain FC 21.1%Liverpool FC 14.7%
Post-match review · Final score2 - 0

Verified predictionCorrect

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Liverpool FC prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Liverpool FC?

The model sees an open match and gives Paris Saint-Germain FC a slight edge at 40.4%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 0 (14.28%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 62.1% and BTTS No at 37.9%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 69.8%, without being certain.

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UEFA Champions League

What the data says about Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Liverpool FC

This Champions League fixture brings a high level of difficulty, making every gap in form or efficiency more significant.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 73.3% for Paris Saint-Germain FC and 80% for Liverpool FC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Paris Saint-Germain FC 40.4%, the draw 29.4% and Liverpool FC 30.2%. The expected-goals model projects 1.55 xG against 1.35, for a combined 2.90.