UEFA Champions League · Full time

Prediction for Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Arsenal FC

UEFA Champions League AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Paris Saint-Germain FC

Standing

Elo rating1671

Form index86.7%

Last 5 matches
DWWWW

Expected goals0.70

Full time5 - 4May 30, 2026
18:00

Arsenal FC

Standing

Elo rating1688

Form index73.3%

Last 5 matches
WDDWW

Expected goals1.65

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Arsenal FC at 43.3%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 75.1%
  • Likely score0 - 1 (15.71%)
  • BTTSYes · 51.1%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 53.5%

1X2 probabilities

Paris Saint-Germain FC24.9%
Draw31.8%
Arsenal FC43.3%

Main pickArsenal FC43.3%

Confidence57.4%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Paris Saint-Germain FC0.70
Expected total2.35
Arsenal FC1.65
46.5%Over 2.5

Over 46.5% Under 53.5%

51.1%BTTS

Yes 51.1% No 48.9%

Double chance

Available markets

1X56.7%
X275.1%
1268.2%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 0 - 115.7%
  2. Likely score 0 - 213%
  3. Likely score 1 - 111%
  4. Likely score 0 - 09.5%
  5. Likely score 1 - 29.1%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Paris Saint-Germain FC 19.1%Arsenal FC 49.6%

Draw no bet

Paris Saint-Germain FC 36.5%Arsenal FC 63.5%

Win to nil

Paris Saint-Germain FC 9.6%Arsenal FC 40.1%

Win by 2+ goals

Paris Saint-Germain FC 4.2%Arsenal FC 33.6%
Post-match review · Final score5 - 4

Verified predictionIncorrect

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Arsenal FC prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Arsenal FC?

The model sees an open match and gives Arsenal FC a slight edge at 43.3%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 0 - 1 (15.71%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 51.1% and BTTS No at 48.9%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance X2 stands at 75.1%, without being certain.

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UEFA Champions League

What the data says about Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Arsenal FC

This Champions League fixture brings a high level of difficulty, making every gap in form or efficiency more significant.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 86.7% for Paris Saint-Germain FC and 73.3% for Arsenal FC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Paris Saint-Germain FC 24.9%, the draw 31.8% and Arsenal FC 43.3%. The expected-goals model projects 0.70 xG against 1.65, for a combined 2.35.