UEFA Champions League · Full time

Prediction for Liverpool FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC

UEFA Champions League AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Liverpool FC

Standing

Elo rating1586

Form index60%

Last 5 matches
LWLWW

Expected goals1.15

Full time0 - 2April 14, 2026
21:00

Paris Saint-Germain FC

Standing

Elo rating1648

Form index86.7%

Last 5 matches
WWWDW

Expected goals1.57

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy scheduleEuropean fixture nearby

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Liverpool FC at 41.1%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 70.6%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (14.62%)
  • BTTSYes · 61.4%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 59.5%

1X2 probabilities

Liverpool FC41.1%
Draw29.5%
Paris Saint-Germain FC29.4%

Main pickLiverpool FC41.1%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Liverpool FC1.15
Expected total2.72
Paris Saint-Germain FC1.57
59.5%Over 2.5

Over 59.5% Under 40.5%

61.4%BTTS

Yes 61.4% No 38.6%

Double chance

Available markets

1X70.6%
X258.9%
1270.5%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 014.6%
  2. Likely score 1 - 113.2%
  3. Likely score 0 - 012.4%
  4. Likely score 0 - 111.7%
  5. Likely score 2 - 08.3%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Liverpool FC 20.7%Paris Saint-Germain FC 31.6%

Draw no bet

Liverpool FC 58.3%Paris Saint-Germain FC 41.7%

Win to nil

Liverpool FC 14.2%Paris Saint-Germain FC 25.1%

Win by 2+ goals

Liverpool FC 11.1%Paris Saint-Germain FC 24.2%
Post-match review · Final score0 - 2

Verified predictionIncorrect

Liverpool FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Liverpool FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC?

The model sees an open match and gives Liverpool FC a slight edge at 41.1%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 0 (14.62%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 61.4% and BTTS No at 38.6%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 70.6%, without being certain.

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UEFA Champions League

What the data says about Liverpool FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC

This Champions League fixture brings a high level of difficulty, making every gap in form or efficiency more significant.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 60% for Liverpool FC and 86.7% for Paris Saint-Germain FC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Liverpool FC 41.1%, the draw 29.5% and Paris Saint-Germain FC 29.4%. The expected-goals model projects 1.15 xG against 1.57, for a combined 2.72.