UEFA Champions League · Full time

Prediction for FC Bayern München vs Real Madrid CF

UEFA Champions League AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

Follow FC Bayern München vs Real Madrid CF and today's matchesAll UEFA Champions League predictions
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FC Bayern München

Standing—

Elo rating1666

Form index100%

Last 5 matches
WWWWW

Expected goals1.80

Full time4 - 3April 15, 2026
21:00

Real Madrid CF

Standing—

Elo rating1634

Form index80%

Last 5 matches
LWWWW

Expected goals0.65

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionEdge for FC Bayern München at 54.5%, with no guarantee of the outcome.
  • Confidence levelCorrect
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 78.9%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (14.13%)
  • BTTSYes · 67.5%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 72.9%

1X2 probabilities

FC Bayern München54.5%
Draw24.4%
Real Madrid CF21.1%

Main pickFC Bayern München54.5%

StabilityCorrect

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Expected goals and trends

FC Bayern München1.80
Expected total2.45
Real Madrid CF0.65
72.9%Over 2.5

Over 72.9% Under 27.1%

67.5%BTTS

Yes 67.5% No 32.5%

Double chance

Available markets

1X78.9%
X245.5%
1275.6%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 0 — 14.1%
  2. Likely score 1 - 1 — 11.4%
  3. Likely score 2 - 0 — 10.9%
  4. Likely score 2 - 1 — 9.5%
  5. Likely score 0 - 0 — 8.4%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

FC Bayern München 52%Real Madrid CF 16.5%

Draw no bet

FC Bayern München 72.1%Real Madrid CF 27.9%

Win to nil

FC Bayern München 43.5%Real Madrid CF 7.9%

Win by 2+ goals

FC Bayern München 38.5%Real Madrid CF 3.3%
Post-match review · Final score4 - 3

Verified predictionCorrect

FC Bayern München vs Real Madrid CF prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for FC Bayern München vs Real Madrid CF?

The model gives FC Bayern München the edge at 54.5%, with no certainty about the final result.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 0 (14.13%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 67.5% and BTTS No at 32.5%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 78.9%, without being certain.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

UEFA Champions League

What the data says about FC Bayern München vs Real Madrid CF

This Champions League fixture brings a high level of difficulty, making every gap in form or efficiency more significant.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 100% for FC Bayern München and 80% for Real Madrid CF. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives FC Bayern München 54.5%, the draw 24.4% and Real Madrid CF 21.1%. The expected-goals model projects 1.80 xG against 0.65, for a combined 2.45.