UEFA Champions League · Full time

Prediction for FC Bayern München vs Paris Saint-Germain FC

UEFA Champions League AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

Follow FC Bayern München vs Paris Saint-Germain FC and today's matchesAll UEFA Champions League predictions
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FC Bayern München

Standing—

Elo rating1665

Form index80%

Last 5 matches
LWWWW

Expected goals1.12

Full time1 - 1May 6, 2026
21:00

Paris Saint-Germain FC

Standing—

Elo rating1670

Form index100%

Last 5 matches
WWWWW

Expected goals1.09

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for FC Bayern München at 44.1%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 68.8%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (12.34%)
  • BTTSYes · 75.1%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 78.1%

1X2 probabilities

FC Bayern München44.1%
Draw24.7%
Paris Saint-Germain FC31.2%

Main pickFC Bayern München44.1%

Confidence54%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

FC Bayern München1.12
Expected total2.21
Paris Saint-Germain FC1.09
78.1%Over 2.5

Over 78.1% Under 21.9%

75.1%BTTS

Yes 75.1% No 24.9%

Double chance

Available markets

1X68.8%
X255.9%
1275.3%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 0 — 12.3%
  2. Likely score 1 - 1 — 12.3%
  3. Likely score 0 - 0 — 12.2%
  4. Likely score 0 - 1 — 12.1%
  5. Likely score 2 - 0 — 6.8%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

FC Bayern München 35.2%Paris Saint-Germain FC 34.5%

Draw no bet

FC Bayern München 58.5%Paris Saint-Germain FC 41.5%

Win to nil

FC Bayern München 23.1%Paris Saint-Germain FC 22.3%

Win by 2+ goals

FC Bayern München 15.3%Paris Saint-Germain FC 14.6%
Post-match review · Final score1 - 1

Verified predictionIncorrect

FC Bayern München vs Paris Saint-Germain FC prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for FC Bayern München vs Paris Saint-Germain FC?

The model sees an open match and gives FC Bayern München a slight edge at 44.1%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 0 (12.34%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 75.1% and BTTS No at 24.9%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 68.8%, without being certain.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

UEFA Champions League

What the data says about FC Bayern München vs Paris Saint-Germain FC

This Champions League fixture brings a high level of difficulty, making every gap in form or efficiency more significant.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 80% for FC Bayern München and 100% for Paris Saint-Germain FC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives FC Bayern München 44.1%, the draw 24.7% and Paris Saint-Germain FC 31.2%. The expected-goals model projects 1.12 xG against 1.09, for a combined 2.21.