UEFA Champions League · Matchday 1 · Season 2026/27 · ScheduledAllianz Arena, Munich

Prediction for FC Bayern München vs FK Bodø/Glimt

FC Bayern MünchenDLWWW
1X2 PREDICTION BALANCE
54.5%FC Bayern München
24.9%Draw
20.6%FK Bodø/Glimt
FK Bodø/GlimtWWWDL
VERDICTFC Bayern München slight favourite

Foresportia's analysis estimates that FC Bayern München has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give FC Bayern München a slight edge, but the gap is not large enough to form a strong signal. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 79.3%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.

1X2 STABILITYCorrect The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 50.5%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 79.3%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.

Why the model sees it this way

Relative strengthAdvantage FC Bayern München
Recent formRather balanced
Goal profileIntermediate goal profile
Signal stabilityModerate
Model confidenceModerate

Probabilities & verdict

FC Bayern München54.5%
Draw24.9%
FK Bodø/Glimt20.6%

Main pickFC Bayern München

1X2 STABILITYCorrect

Model confidence50.5%

1X2 alternatives

1X2 alternatives
MarketPickProbabilityReading
Double chance1X79.3%Most robust signal
Draw no betFC Bayern München72.5%Solid
Total goalsOver 2.562%Interesting
Both teams to scoreYes56.2%Interesting
Total goalsOver 1.578.2%Solid
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How the match could unfold

Expected goals (xG)1.92FC Bayern München

Expected goals (xG)1.02FK Bodø/Glimt

Under 2.5 probability38%

BTTS No probability43.8%

Top 5 likely scores
2 - 112.8%1 - 09.6%1 - 17.6%3 - 07.5%0 - 07.3%

Advanced scenarios

FC Bayern MünchenFK Bodø/Glimt
35.7%
Clean sheet
15.5%
28.4%
Win to nil
8.2%
32.8%
Win by 2 goals or more
6.1%
Learn more about our scenarios →

Team comparison

FC Bayern MünchenFK Bodø/Glimt
Current position24th
1712Elo1591
DLWWWForm (last 5)WWWDL
3.0Goals scored / match (5)2.4
2.2Goals conceded / match (5)2.2
0.0Clean sheets (5)20.0
View the detailed comparison ›

Prediction reliability

Correct profile

The signal has an intermediate stability level and should still be read alongside the match context.

HISTORICAL PERFORMANCECorrect profile
80.3%

80.3% correct predictions
over 203 verified matches

Learn more about our methodology →
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE90%80%70%0418112216220380.3%Number of matches

What the data says about FC Bayern München vs FK Bodø/Glimt

This Champions League fixture brings a high level of difficulty, making every gap in form or efficiency more significant.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 66.7% for FC Bayern München and 66.7% for FK Bodø/Glimt. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives FC Bayern München 54.5%, the draw 24.9% and FK Bodø/Glimt 20.6%. The expected-goals model projects 1.92 xG against 1.02, for a combined 2.94. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 2–1 at 12.8%.