UEFA Champions League · Full time

Prediction for Club Atlético de Madrid vs Arsenal FC

UEFA Champions League AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Club Atlético de Madrid

Standing

Elo rating1580

Form index60%

Last 5 matches
LWLWW

Expected goals0.51

Full time1 - 1April 29, 2026
21:00

Arsenal FC

Standing

Elo rating1684

Form index73.3%

Last 5 matches
DWWDW

Expected goals1.82

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy scheduleEuropean fixture nearby

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Arsenal FC at 57.3%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 82.5%
  • Likely score0 - 1 (17.61%)
  • BTTSYes · 57.8%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 64.8%

1X2 probabilities

Club Atlético de Madrid17.5%
Draw25.2%
Arsenal FC57.3%

Main pickArsenal FC57.3%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Club Atlético de Madrid0.51
Expected total2.33
Arsenal FC1.82
64.8%Over 2.5

Over 64.8% Under 35.2%

57.8%BTTS

Yes 57.8% No 42.2%

Double chance

Available markets

1X42.7%
X282.5%
1274.8%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 0 - 117.6%
  2. Likely score 0 - 215%
  3. Likely score 0 - 011.2%
  4. Likely score 0 - 39.2%
  5. Likely score 1 - 18.6%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Club Atlético de Madrid 18.4%Arsenal FC 60.7%

Draw no bet

Club Atlético de Madrid 23.4%Arsenal FC 76.6%

Win to nil

Club Atlético de Madrid 7.3%Arsenal FC 49.5%

Win by 2+ goals

Club Atlético de Madrid 2.4%Arsenal FC 41.2%
Post-match review · Final score1 - 1

Verified predictionIncorrect

Club Atlético de Madrid vs Arsenal FC prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Club Atlético de Madrid vs Arsenal FC?

The model sees an open match and gives Arsenal FC a slight edge at 57.3%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 0 - 1 (17.61%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 57.8% and BTTS No at 42.2%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance X2 stands at 82.5%, without being certain.

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UEFA Champions League

What the data says about Club Atlético de Madrid vs Arsenal FC

This Champions League fixture brings a high level of difficulty, making every gap in form or efficiency more significant.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 60% for Club Atlético de Madrid and 73.3% for Arsenal FC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Club Atlético de Madrid 17.5%, the draw 25.2% and Arsenal FC 57.3%. The expected-goals model projects 0.51 xG against 1.82, for a combined 2.33.