UEFA Champions League · Full time

Prediction for Arsenal FC vs Club Atlético de Madrid

UEFA Champions League AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Arsenal FC

Standing

Elo rating1682

Form index60%

Last 5 matches
DDWWD

Expected goals1.61

Full time1 - 0May 5, 2026
21:00

Club Atlético de Madrid

Standing

Elo rating1582

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
DLWLW

Expected goals0.67

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy scheduleEuropean fixture nearby

Quick read

  • Main predictionEdge for Arsenal FC at 63.9%, with no guarantee of the outcome.
  • Confidence levelCorrect
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 87.5%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (16.39%)
  • BTTSNo · 50.5%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 63%

1X2 probabilities

Arsenal FC63.9%
Draw23.7%
Club Atlético de Madrid12.5%

Main pickArsenal FC63.9%

StabilityCorrect

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Expected goals and trends

Arsenal FC1.61
Expected total2.28
Club Atlético de Madrid0.67
63%Over 2.5

Over 63% Under 37%

49.5%BTTS

Yes 49.5% No 50.5%

Double chance

Available markets

1X87.5%
X236.1%
1276.3%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 016.4%
  2. Likely score 2 - 012.6%
  3. Likely score 0 - 011.6%
  4. Likely score 1 - 110.3%
  5. Likely score 2 - 17.9%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Arsenal FC 52.4%Club Atlético de Madrid 22.1%

Draw no bet

Arsenal FC 83.7%Club Atlético de Madrid 16.3%

Win to nil

Arsenal FC 40.8%Club Atlético de Madrid 10.6%

Win by 2+ goals

Arsenal FC 32.9%Club Atlético de Madrid 4.5%
Post-match review · Final score1 - 0

Verified predictionCorrect

Arsenal FC vs Club Atlético de Madrid prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Arsenal FC vs Club Atlético de Madrid?

The model gives Arsenal FC the edge at 63.9%, with no certainty about the final result.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 0 (16.39%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 49.5% and BTTS No at 50.5%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 87.5%, without being certain.

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UEFA Champions League

What the data says about Arsenal FC vs Club Atlético de Madrid

This Champions League fixture brings a high level of difficulty, making every gap in form or efficiency more significant.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 60% for Arsenal FC and 46.7% for Club Atlético de Madrid. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Arsenal FC 63.9%, the draw 23.7% and Club Atlético de Madrid 12.5%. The expected-goals model projects 1.61 xG against 0.67, for a combined 2.28.