York United
Standing#5
Elo rating1469
Form index26.7%
Expected goals1.11
23:00
Forge
Standing#1
Elo rating1618
Form index80%
Expected goals2.97
Quick read
- Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Forge at 50.4%, so caution is advised.
- Confidence levelRisk
- Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 79.4%
- Likely score1 - 2 (8.27%)
- BTTSYes · 53.6%
- Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 50.3%
First AI projection
This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.
Main pickForge50.4%
Confidence86.7%
StabilityRisk
Expected goals and trends
Over 50.3% Under 49.7%
Yes 53.6% No 46.4%
Double chance
Available markets
Top 5 likely scores
- Likely score 1 - 2 — 8.3%
- Likely score 1 - 3 — 8.2%
- Likely score 0 - 2 — 7.5%
- Likely score 0 - 3 — 7.4%
- Likely score 1 - 4 — 6.1%
Advanced scenarios
Clean sheet
Draw no bet
Win to nil
Win by 2+ goals
York United vs Forge early projection FAQ
What does the first AI projection say about York United vs Forge?
The early estimate gives Forge a slight edge at 50.4%. This probability may change before the match.
Why can this estimate change?
Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.
Is an early likely score available?
The first calculated scenario is 1 - 2 (8.27%), but this is an early estimate that may change.
More football tools and analysis
Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.
Canadian Premier League
What the data says about York United vs Forge
This Canadian Premier League fixture comes from a compact competition where recent runs and small strength gaps can quickly reshape the table.
Before kick-off, York United sits 5th and Forge 1st in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1469 for York United and 1618 for Forge.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 26.7% for York United and 80% for Forge. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
The 1X2 projection gives York United 20.6%, the draw 29% and Forge 50.4%. The expected-goals model projects 1.11 xG against 2.97, for a combined 4.08.