Canadian Premier League · Scheduled

Prediction for Vancouver FC vs York United

Canadian Premier League AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Vancouver FC

Standing#7

Elo rating1466

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
LWWLD

Expected goals1.15

ScheduledVSJuly 5, 2026
01:00

York United

Standing#5

Elo rating1469

Form index26.7%

Last 5 matches
LLLDW

Expected goals1.14

Match context to watch
Draw closeLine-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for York United at 38.4%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 68.4%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (13.29%)
  • BTTSYes · 57.3%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 52.2%

1X2 probabilities

AI prediction updated with the latest available data.

Vancouver FC31.6%
Draw30.1%
York United38.4%

Main pickYork United38.4%

Confidence32.3%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Vancouver FC1.15
Expected total2.28
York United1.14
52.2%Over 2.5

Over 52.2% Under 47.8%

57.3%BTTS

Yes 57.3% No 42.7%

Double chance

Available markets

1X61.6%
X268.4%
1269.9%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 113.3%
  2. Likely score 1 - 011.7%
  3. Likely score 0 - 111.6%
  4. Likely score 0 - 010.2%
  5. Likely score 2 - 17.6%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Vancouver FC 32.1%York United 31.8%

Draw no bet

Vancouver FC 45.1%York United 54.9%

Win to nil

Vancouver FC 21.9%York United 21.6%

Win by 2+ goals

Vancouver FC 14.8%York United 14.5%

Vancouver FC vs York United prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Vancouver FC vs York United?

The model sees an open match and gives York United a slight edge at 38.4%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 1 (13.29%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 57.3% and BTTS No at 42.7%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance X2 stands at 68.4%, without being certain.

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Canadian Premier League

What the data says about Vancouver FC vs York United

This Canadian Premier League fixture comes from a compact competition where recent runs and small strength gaps can quickly reshape the table.

Before kick-off, Vancouver FC sits 7th and York United 5th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1466 for Vancouver FC and 1469 for York United.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Vancouver FC and 26.7% for York United. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Vancouver FC 31.6%, the draw 30.1% and York United 38.4%. The expected-goals model projects 1.15 xG against 1.14, for a combined 2.28.