Bundesliga 2 · Scheduled

First AI projection for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1.FC Nürnberg

First AI projection for this Bundesliga 2 fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Standing#16

Elo rating1453

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
WLWLD

Expected goals1.43

ScheduledVS

1.FC Nürnberg

Standing#8

Elo rating1536

Form index60%

Last 5 matches
DWDWD

Expected goals1.35

Match context to watch
Franconian derbyDraw closeRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for SpVgg Greuther Fürth at 36.8%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 66.8%
  • Likely score2 - 1 (12.25%)
  • BTTSYes · 62.6%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 58.5%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth36.8%
Draw30%
1.FC Nürnberg33.2%

Main pickSpVgg Greuther Fürth36.8%

Confidence53.9%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

SpVgg Greuther Fürth1.43
Expected total2.77
1.FC Nürnberg1.35
58.5%Over 2.5

Over 58.5% Under 41.5%

62.6%BTTS

Yes 62.6% No 37.4%

Double chance

Available markets

1X66.8%
X263.2%
1270%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 112.2%
  2. Likely score 1 - 211.4%
  3. Likely score 1 - 111%
  4. Likely score 0 - 08.5%
  5. Likely score 1 - 07.7%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 23.9%1.FC Nürnberg 22.1%

Draw no bet

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 52.6%1.FC Nürnberg 47.4%

Win to nil

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 15.3%1.FC Nürnberg 13.6%

Win by 2+ goals

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 15.4%1.FC Nürnberg 13%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1.FC Nürnberg early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1.FC Nürnberg?

The early estimate gives SpVgg Greuther Fürth a slight edge at 36.8%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 2 - 1 (12.25%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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Bundesliga 2

What the data says about SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1.FC Nürnberg

This Bundesliga 2 fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, SpVgg Greuther Fürth sits 16th and 1.FC Nürnberg 8th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1453 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1536 for 1.FC Nürnberg.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 60% for 1.FC Nürnberg. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives SpVgg Greuther Fürth 36.8%, the draw 30% and 1.FC Nürnberg 33.2%. The expected-goals model projects 1.43 xG against 1.35, for a combined 2.77.