Relative strengthSlight edge for Hertha BSC
Prediction for Hertha BSC vs 1.FC Magdeburg
Hertha BSCView team →WWWLW43.9%Hertha BSC
28.1%Draw
28%1.FC Magdeburg
1.FC MagdeburgView team →WWLLWVERDICTHertha BSC slight favourite
Foresportia's analysis estimates that Hertha BSC has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give Hertha BSC a slight edge, but the gap is not large enough to form a strong signal. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 72%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 45.7%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 72%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formAdvantage Hertha BSC
Goal profileIntermediate goal profile
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceModerate
Probabilities & verdict
Hertha BSC43.9%Draw28.1%
1.FC Magdeburg28%Main pickHertha BSC
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence45.7%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 72% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | Hertha BSC | 61.1% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 61.5% | Interesting |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.6% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 1.5 | 78.3% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.64Hertha BSC
Total xG2.90
Expected goals (xG)1.261.FC Magdeburg
Under 2.5 probability38.5%
BTTS No probability37.4%
Top 5 likely scores
2 - 113.1%1 - 29.8%1 - 19.6%1 - 08.1%0 - 07.6%
Advanced scenarios
Hertha BSC1.FC Magdeburg26.5%
Clean sheet18.6%
18.8%
Win to nil11%
21.4%
Win by 2 goals or more10.2%
Team comparison
2ndCurrent position5th
1545Elo1490
WWWLWForm (last 5)WWLLW
2.6Goals scored / match (5)1.8
2.2Goals conceded / match (5)1.6
20.0Clean sheets (5)40.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
47.2%
47.2% correct predictions
over 562 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for Hertha BSC vs 1.FC Magdeburg?
The Foresportia model gives Hertha BSC a slight edge at 43.9%. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 2 - 1 (13.11%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 62.6% and BTTS No at 37.4%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance 1X stands at 72%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Hertha BSC vs 1.FC Magdeburg
This Bundesliga 2 fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Hertha BSC sits 2nd and 1.FC Magdeburg 5th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1545 for Hertha BSC and 1490 for 1.FC Magdeburg.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 80% for Hertha BSC and 60% for 1.FC Magdeburg. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives Hertha BSC 43.9%, the draw 28.1% and 1.FC Magdeburg 28%. The expected-goals model projects 1.64 xG against 1.26, for a combined 2.90. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 2–1 at 13.1%.