Brasileirão · Matchday 24 · Season 2026 · ScheduledEstadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos

Prediction for Santos FC vs Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP)

Santos FCView team →WLDLW
1X2 PREDICTION BALANCE
35.7%Santos FC
28.7%Draw
35.5%Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP)
Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP)View team →LLWDW
VERDICTVery balanced match

The 1X2 probabilities are very close and do not identify a clear favourite. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 64.5%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick.

1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence 63.6%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 64.5%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.

Why the model sees it this way

Relative strengthBalanced
Recent formRather balanced
Goal profileIntermediate goal profile
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceHigh

Probabilities & verdict

Santos FC35.7%
Draw28.7%
Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP)35.5%

Main pickSantos FC

1X2 STABILITYRisk

Model confidence63.6%

1X2 alternatives

MarketPickProbabilityReading
Double chance1271.3%Most robust signal
Draw no betSantos FC50.1%Neutral
Total goalsOver 2.555.5%Interesting
Both teams to scoreYes58.7%Interesting
Total goalsOver 1.574.6%Solid
View all markets →

How the match could unfold

Expected goals (xG)1.38Santos FC

Total xG2.76

Expected goals (xG)1.38Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP)

Under 2.5 probability44.5%

BTTS No probability41.3%

Top 5 likely scores
1 - 110.7%2 - 110.1%1 - 210.1%0 - 08.9%1 - 08.3%

Advanced scenarios

Santos FCMirassol Futebol Clube (SP)
25.1%
Clean sheet
25%
16.2%
Win to nil
16.2%
15.2%
Win by 2 goals or more
15.1%
Learn more about our scenarios →

Team comparison

Santos FCMirassol Futebol Clube (SP)
14thCurrent position17th
1495Elo1486
WLDLWForm (last 5)LLWDW
1.8Goals scored / match (5)1.4
1.4Goals conceded / match (5)2.2
20.0Clean sheets (5)0.0
View the detailed comparison ›

Prediction reliability

Risk profile

This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.

HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
46.1%

46.1% correct predictions
over 727 verified matches

Learn more about our methodology →
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE60%47.5%35%014529143658272746.1%Number of matches

Quick FAQ

What is the prediction for Santos FC vs Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP)?

The model sees an open match and gives Santos FC a slight edge at 35.7%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 1 (10.69%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 58.7% and BTTS No at 41.3%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 64.5%, without being certain.

Explore more on Foresportia

Follow Santos FC vs Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP) and today's matchesScores, kick-off times and fixtures updated periodically on direct.html.›All Brasileirão predictionsExplore more Brasileirão fixtures and AI analysis.›Brasileirão standingsSee where Santos FC and Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP) sit in the current table.›Compare Santos FC and Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP) formReview both teams' recent momentum and match sequences.›Brasileirão results and fixturesBrowse previous scores and upcoming matches from the competition.›Other matches on August 23, 2026Browse the matches and predictions available on this date.›Compare with the top AI predictionsPlace this fixture alongside the strongest current model signals.›Santos FC and Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP) team pagesOpen team profiles, statistics and upcoming fixtures.›

Our commitment

◇ Predictions archived before kick-off

◇ No invented data

What the data says about Santos FC vs Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP)

This Brasileirão fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Santos FC sits 14th and Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP) 17th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1495 for Santos FC and 1486 for Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP).

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Santos FC and 46.7% for Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP). It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Santos FC 35.7%, the draw 28.7% and Mirassol Futebol Clube (SP) 35.5%. The expected-goals model projects 1.38 xG against 1.38, for a combined 2.76.