Brasileirão · Scheduled

First AI projection for Fluminense Football Club vs Esporte Clube Bahia

First AI projection for this Brasileirão fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Fluminense Football Club

Standing#3

Elo rating1582

Form index33.3%

Last 5 matches
DLWDL

Expected goals2.87

ScheduledVSJuly 30, 2026
02:30

Esporte Clube Bahia

Standing#6

Elo rating1519

Form index33.3%

Last 5 matches
WLDLD

Expected goals1.24

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Fluminense Football Club at 45.4%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 74.2%
  • Likely score2 - 1 (8.39%)
  • BTTSYes · 55.9%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 50.6%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Fluminense Football Club45.4%
Draw28.9%
Esporte Clube Bahia25.8%

Main pickFluminense Football Club45.4%

Confidence67.6%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Fluminense Football Club2.87
Expected total4.11
Esporte Clube Bahia1.24
50.6%Over 2.5

Over 50.6% Under 49.4%

55.9%BTTS

Yes 55.9% No 44.1%

Double chance

Available markets

1X74.2%
X254.6%
1271.2%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 18.4%
  2. Likely score 3 - 18%
  3. Likely score 2 - 06.8%
  4. Likely score 3 - 06.4%
  5. Likely score 1 - 15.8%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Fluminense Football Club 28.9%Esporte Clube Bahia 5.7%

Draw no bet

Fluminense Football Club 63.8%Esporte Clube Bahia 36.2%

Win to nil

Fluminense Football Club 27.3%Esporte Clube Bahia 4.1%

Win by 2+ goals

Fluminense Football Club 51%Esporte Clube Bahia 5.2%

Fluminense Football Club vs Esporte Clube Bahia early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Fluminense Football Club vs Esporte Clube Bahia?

The early estimate gives Fluminense Football Club a slight edge at 45.4%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 2 - 1 (8.39%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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Brasileirão

What the data says about Fluminense Football Club vs Esporte Clube Bahia

This Brasileirão fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Fluminense Football Club sits 3rd and Esporte Clube Bahia 6th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1582 for Fluminense Football Club and 1519 for Esporte Clube Bahia.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 33.3% for Fluminense Football Club and 33.3% for Esporte Clube Bahia. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Fluminense Football Club 45.4%, the draw 28.9% and Esporte Clube Bahia 25.8%. The expected-goals model projects 2.87 xG against 1.24, for a combined 4.11.