Brasileirão · Scheduled

First AI projection for Esporte Clube Vitória vs Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama

First AI projection for this Brasileirão fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

Follow Esporte Clube Vitória vs Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama and today's matchesAll Brasileirão predictions
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Esporte Clube Vitória

Standing#13

Elo rating1495

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
LWLDW

Expected goals2.30

ScheduledVSJuly 17, 2026
00:30

Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Standing#17

Elo rating1434

Form index26.7%

Last 5 matches
LLLWD

Expected goals0.38

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Esporte Clube Vitória at 44.9%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 73.4%
  • Likely score2 - 0 (18.07%)
  • BTTSYes · 58.3%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 54.3%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Esporte Clube Vitória44.9%
Draw28.5%
Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama26.6%

Main pickEsporte Clube Vitória44.9%

Confidence67.9%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Esporte Clube Vitória2.30
Expected total2.68
Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama0.38
54.3%Over 2.5

Over 54.3% Under 45.7%

58.3%BTTS

Yes 58.3% No 41.7%

Double chance

Available markets

1X73.4%
X255.1%
1271.5%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 0 — 18.1%
  2. Likely score 1 - 0 — 15.7%
  3. Likely score 3 - 0 — 13.8%
  4. Likely score 4 - 0 — 8%
  5. Likely score 2 - 1 — 6.9%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Esporte Clube Vitória 68.2%Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama 10%

Draw no bet

Esporte Clube Vitória 62.8%Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama 37.2%

Win to nil

Esporte Clube Vitória 61.5%Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama 3.2%

Win by 2+ goals

Esporte Clube Vitória 57.1%Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama 0.8%

Esporte Clube Vitória vs Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Esporte Clube Vitória vs Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama?

The early estimate gives Esporte Clube Vitória a slight edge at 44.9%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 2 - 0 (18.07%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Brasileirão

What the data says about Esporte Clube Vitória vs Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama

This Brasileirão fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Esporte Clube Vitória sits 13th and Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama 17th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1495 for Esporte Clube Vitória and 1434 for Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Esporte Clube Vitória and 26.7% for Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Esporte Clube Vitória 44.9%, the draw 28.5% and Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama 26.6%. The expected-goals model projects 2.30 xG against 0.38, for a combined 2.68.