Brasileirão · Scheduled

First AI projection for Esporte Clube Bahia vs Associação Chapecoense de Futebol

First AI projection for this Brasileirão fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

Follow Esporte Clube Bahia vs Associação Chapecoense de Futebol and today's matchesAll Brasileirão predictions
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Esporte Clube Bahia

Standing#6

Elo rating1519

Form index33.3%

Last 5 matches
WLDLD

Expected goals1.79

ScheduledVSJuly 18, 2026
00:30

Associação Chapecoense de Futebol

Standing#20

Elo rating1363

Form index6.7%

Last 5 matches
LLLDL

Expected goals0.75

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionEdge for Esporte Clube Bahia at 62.9%, with no guarantee of the outcome.
  • Confidence levelStable
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 86%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (14.15%)
  • BTTSYes · 55.3%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 58%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Esporte Clube Bahia62.9%
Draw23%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol14.1%

Main pickEsporte Clube Bahia62.9%

Confidence87.9%

StabilityStable

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Expected goals and trends

Esporte Clube Bahia1.79
Expected total2.54
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol0.75
58%Over 2.5

Over 58% Under 42%

55.3%BTTS

Yes 55.3% No 44.7%

Double chance

Available markets

1X86%
X237.1%
1277%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 0 — 14.2%
  2. Likely score 2 - 0 — 12.7%
  3. Likely score 1 - 1 — 10.6%
  4. Likely score 2 - 1 — 9.5%
  5. Likely score 0 - 0 — 7.9%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Esporte Clube Bahia 47.4%Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 16.7%

Draw no bet

Esporte Clube Bahia 81.8%Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 18.2%

Win to nil

Esporte Clube Bahia 39.6%Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 8.8%

Win by 2+ goals

Esporte Clube Bahia 36.3%Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 4.3%

Esporte Clube Bahia vs Associação Chapecoense de Futebol early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Esporte Clube Bahia vs Associação Chapecoense de Futebol?

The early estimate gives Esporte Clube Bahia a slight edge at 62.9%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 0 (14.15%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Brasileirão

What the data says about Esporte Clube Bahia vs Associação Chapecoense de Futebol

This Brasileirão fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Esporte Clube Bahia sits 6th and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 20th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1519 for Esporte Clube Bahia and 1363 for Associação Chapecoense de Futebol.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 33.3% for Esporte Clube Bahia and 6.7% for Associação Chapecoense de Futebol. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Esporte Clube Bahia 62.9%, the draw 23% and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 14.1%. The expected-goals model projects 1.79 xG against 0.75, for a combined 2.54.