Relative strengthAdvantage Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Prediction for Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas vs Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Botafogo de Futebol e RegatasView team →LLLDW25.8%Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas
28.8%Draw
45.3%Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Sociedade Esportiva PalmeirasView team →DWLDWVERDICTSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras slight favourite
Foresportia's analysis estimates that Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras a slight edge, but the gap is not large enough to form a strong signal. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance X2 at 74.2%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 42%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance X2 · 74.2%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formAdvantage Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Goal profileIntermediate goal profile
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceLow
Probabilities & verdict
Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas25.8%Draw28.8%
Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras45.3%Main pickSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence42%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | X2 | 74.2% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras | 63.7% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 52.2% | Neutral |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.2% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Under 3.5 | 73.9% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.08Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Total xG2.59
Expected goals (xG)1.51Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Under 2.5 probability47.8%
BTTS No probability44.8%
Top 5 likely scores
1 - 212%1 - 111.2%0 - 110.6%0 - 09.6%2 - 18.3%
Advanced scenarios
Botafogo de Futebol e RegatasSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras21.7%
Clean sheet32.6%
12.1%
Win to nil23.1%
8.6%
Win by 2 goals or more21.5%
Team comparison
12thCurrent position1st
1506Elo1710
LLLDWForm (last 5)DWLDW
0.8Goals scored / match (5)2.2
1.6Goals conceded / match (5)1.0
20.0Clean sheets (5)40.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
45.9%
45.9% correct predictions
over 743 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas vs Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras?
The Foresportia model gives Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras a slight edge at 45.3%. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 1 - 2 (11.96%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 55.2% and BTTS No at 44.8%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance X2 stands at 74.2%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas vs Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
This Brasileirão fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas sits 12th and Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras 1st in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1506 for Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas and 1710 for Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 26.7% for Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas and 53.3% for Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas 25.8%, the draw 28.8% and Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras 45.3%. The expected-goals model projects 1.08 xG against 1.51, for a combined 2.59. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 1–2 at 12%.