Allsvenskan · Scheduled

First AI projection for Elfsborg vs IK Sirius

First AI projection for this Allsvenskan fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Elfsborg

Standing#3

Elo rating1542

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
DDDDW

Expected goals1.48

ScheduledVSJuly 19, 2026
16:30

IK Sirius

Standing#1

Elo rating1674

Form index100%

Last 5 matches
WWWWW

Expected goals1.71

Match context to watch
Draw closeLine-ups to watchBusy scheduleRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Elfsborg at 36.6%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 65.3%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (10.42%)
  • BTTSYes · 60.3%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 56.6%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Elfsborg36.6%
Draw28.7%
IK Sirius34.7%

Main pickElfsborg36.6%

Confidence57.2%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Elfsborg1.48
Expected total3.19
IK Sirius1.71
56.6%Over 2.5

Over 56.6% Under 43.4%

60.3%BTTS

Yes 60.3% No 39.7%

Double chance

Available markets

1X65.3%
X263.4%
1271.3%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 110.4%
  2. Likely score 1 - 28.9%
  3. Likely score 2 - 17.7%
  4. Likely score 0 - 17%
  5. Likely score 2 - 26.6%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Elfsborg 18.1%IK Sirius 22.7%

Draw no bet

Elfsborg 51.3%IK Sirius 48.7%

Win to nil

Elfsborg 13.9%IK Sirius 18.5%

Win by 2+ goals

Elfsborg 15.7%IK Sirius 22.6%

Elfsborg vs IK Sirius early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Elfsborg vs IK Sirius?

The early estimate gives Elfsborg a slight edge at 36.6%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 1 (10.42%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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Allsvenskan

What the data says about Elfsborg vs IK Sirius

This Allsvenskan fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Elfsborg sits 3rd and IK Sirius 1st in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1542 for Elfsborg and 1674 for IK Sirius.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Elfsborg and 100% for IK Sirius. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Elfsborg 36.6%, the draw 28.7% and IK Sirius 34.7%. The expected-goals model projects 1.48 xG against 1.71, for a combined 3.19.