Allsvenskan · Matchday 18 · Season 2026 · ScheduledStrawberry Arena, Solna

First AI projection for AIK vs Mjällby AIF

AIKView team →WWLDW
1X2 PREDICTION BALANCE
29.8%AIK
32%Draw
38.3%Mjällby AIF
Mjällby AIFView team →WLLDL
VERDICTMjällby AIF slight favourite

The models give Mjällby AIF a slight edge, but the gap is not large enough to form a strong signal. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance X2 at 70.2%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick.

1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence 43.4%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance X2 · 70.2%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.

Why the model sees it this way

Relative strengthSlight edge for Mjällby AIF
Recent formAdvantage AIK
Goal profileIntermediate goal profile
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceLow

Probabilities & verdict

AIK29.8%
Draw32%
Mjällby AIF38.3%

Main pickMjällby AIF

1X2 STABILITYRisk

Model confidence43.4%

1X2 alternatives

MarketPickProbabilityReading
Double chanceX270.2%Most robust signal
Draw no betMjällby AIF56.2%Interesting
Total goalsOver 2.554.5%Neutral
Both teams to scoreYes60.9%Interesting
Total goalsUnder 3.574.4%Solid
View all markets →

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

How the match could unfold

Expected goals (xG)1.21AIK

Total xG2.60

Expected goals (xG)1.39Mjällby AIF

Under 2.5 probability45.5%

BTTS No probability39.1%

Top 5 likely scores
1 - 213.2%1 - 112.5%2 - 111.1%0 - 010%0 - 18.7%

Advanced scenarios

AIKMjällby AIF
22.5%
Clean sheet
26.7%
12.4%
Win to nil
16.6%
10.2%
Win by 2 goals or more
15.5%
Learn more about our scenarios →

Team comparison

AIKMjällby AIF
4thCurrent position11th
1574Elo1614
WWLDWForm (last 5)WLLDL
1.8Goals scored / match (5)1.2
1.4Goals conceded / match (5)1.6
40.0Clean sheets (5)20.0
View the detailed comparison ›

Prediction reliability

Risk profile

This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.

HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
50.9%

50.9% correct predictions
over 271 verified matches

Learn more about our methodology →
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE65%50%35%05410816321727150.9%Number of matches

Quick FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about AIK vs Mjällby AIF?

The early estimate gives Mjällby AIF a slight edge at 38.3%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 2 (13.18%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

Explore more on Foresportia

Follow AIK vs Mjällby AIF and today's matchesScores, kick-off times and fixtures updated periodically on direct.html.›All Allsvenskan predictionsExplore more Allsvenskan fixtures and AI analysis.›Allsvenskan standingsSee where AIK and Mjällby AIF sit in the current table.›Compare AIK and Mjällby AIF formReview both teams' recent momentum and match sequences.›Allsvenskan results and fixturesBrowse previous scores and upcoming matches from the competition.›Other matches on September 16, 2026Browse the matches and predictions available on this date.›Compare with the top AI predictionsPlace this fixture alongside the strongest current model signals.›AIK and Mjällby AIF team pagesOpen team profiles, statistics and upcoming fixtures.›

Our commitment

◇ Predictions archived before kick-off

◇ No invented data

What the data says about AIK vs Mjällby AIF

This Allsvenskan fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, AIK sits 4th and Mjällby AIF 11th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1574 for AIK and 1614 for Mjällby AIF.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 66.7% for AIK and 26.7% for Mjällby AIF. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives AIK 29.8%, the draw 32% and Mjällby AIF 38.3%. The expected-goals model projects 1.21 xG against 1.39, for a combined 2.60.