A-League · Full time

Prediction for Auckland vs Sydney

A-League AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Auckland

Standing#3

Elo rating1519

Form index40%

Last 5 matches
WDDDL

Expected goals0.53

Full time1 - 0May 23, 2026
10:10

Sydney

Standing#5

Elo rating1536

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
DDWDD

Expected goals1.36

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Auckland at 42.5%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 74.2%
  • Likely score0 - 1 (20.46%)
  • BTTSYes · 52.1%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 54.6%

1X2 probabilities

Auckland42.5%
Draw31.7%
Sydney25.8%

Main pickAuckland42.5%

Confidence34.8%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Auckland0.53
Expected total1.89
Sydney1.36
45.4%Over 2.5

Over 45.4% Under 54.6%

52.1%BTTS

Yes 52.1% No 47.9%

Double chance

Available markets

1X74.2%
X257.5%
1268.3%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 0 - 120.5%
  2. Likely score 0 - 015.1%
  3. Likely score 0 - 213.9%
  4. Likely score 1 - 110.9%
  5. Likely score 1 - 08.1%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Auckland 25.7%Sydney 58.6%

Draw no bet

Auckland 62.2%Sydney 37.8%

Win to nil

Auckland 10.7%Sydney 43.5%

Win by 2+ goals

Auckland 3.2%Sydney 28.4%
Post-match review · Final score1 - 0

Verified predictionCorrect

Auckland vs Sydney prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Auckland vs Sydney?

The model sees an open match and gives Auckland a slight edge at 42.5%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 0 - 1 (20.46%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 52.1% and BTTS No at 47.9%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 74.2%, without being certain.

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A-League

What the data says about Auckland vs Sydney

This A-League fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Auckland sits 3rd and Sydney 5th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1519 for Auckland and 1536 for Sydney.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 40% for Auckland and 46.7% for Sydney. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Auckland 42.5%, the draw 31.7% and Sydney 25.8%. The expected-goals model projects 0.53 xG against 1.36, for a combined 1.89.